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Recent landslides in La Conchita, Calif. belong to a much larger prehistoric slide. The deadly landslide that killed 10 people and destroyed approximately 30 homes last January is but a tiny part of a much larger slide called the Rincon Mountain slide, discovered by Larry D. Gurrola, geologist and graduate student at the University of California, Santa Barbara. The slide started many thousands of years ago and will continue generating slides in the future, reported Gurrola at the national meeting of the Geological Society of America in Salt Lake City in October.
Prehistoric slides present at Rincon Mountain cover an area of about 1,300 acres with a minimum volume of about 600 million cubic yards, said Edward A. Keller, professor of earth science at UC Santa Barbara. Keller analyzed the landslide complex with Gurrola and Tim Tierney, UCSB research scientist.
Geological consultant Ted Powers also contributed. The La Conchita landslides that occurred in 1995 and 2005 form only a small percent of a much larger landslide complex, according to the geologists. ?EUR??,,????'??The question is not if, but when, the next landslide will impact the community of La Conchita. A combination of factors makes future landslides inevitable. These are: active faulting and folding; rapid tectonic uplift; very weak rocks; steep topography; and, the presence of springs.?EUR??,,????'?? The triggering mechanism for debris flows and mudflows appears to be prolonged, intense precipitation. The larger, complex slides may increase in activity months or even years after wet years and infiltration of rainwater to the subsurface environment.
An earthquake could also trigger a slide. ?EUR??,,????'??People tend to have short memories when it comes to geologic hazards such as landslides. If people continue to live in La Conchita, more lives will be lost in the future and this is unacceptable,?EUR??,,????'?? said Keller who urged that owners be fairly compensated for their property, and proposed that the site of La Conchita be made into a beach park. ?EUR??,,????'??For this to happen will take a significant community fund-raising effort with assistance at local, state and national levels in cooperation with organizations such as the Land Trust Alliance,?EUR??,,????'?? said Keller. ?EUR??,,????'??In hindsight, notice of the duration and intensity of rainfall might have been helpful in providing a warning, but additional research would be necessary to test this hypothesis.
Source: University of California ?EUR??,,????'??? Santa Barbara.
Francisco Uviña, University of New Mexico
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