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Home Price Appreciation Slows09-05-06 | News
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Home Price Appreciation Slows



WASHINGTON D.C. ?EUR??,,????'??+ U.S. Home prices continued to rise in the second quarter of 2006 but the rate of increase fell sharply, according to a report by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO).

Home prices were 10.06 percent higher in the second quarter of 2006 than they were one year earlier. Appreciation for the most recent quarter was 1.17 percent, or an annualized rate of 4.68 percent.

The quarterly rate reflects a sharp decline of more than one percentage point from the previous quarter and is the lowest rate of appreciation since the fourth quarter of 1999.

?EUR??,,????'??These data are a strong indication that the housing market is cooling in a very significant way,?EUR??,,????'?? James B. Lockhart, OFHEO director, said. ?EUR??,,????'??Indeed, the deceleration appears in almost every region of the country.?EUR??,,????'??

Possible causes of the decrease in appreciation rates include higher interest rates, a drop in speculative activity, and rising inventories of homes.

?EUR??,,????'??The very high appreciation rates we?EUR??,,????'???ve seen in recent years spurred increased construction,?EUR??,,????'?? said OFHEO Chief Economist Patrick Lawler. ?EUR??,,????'??That coupled with slower sales has led to higher inventories and these inventories will continue to constrain future appreciation rates.?EUR??,,????'??

House prices grew faster over the past year than did prices of non-housing goods and services reflected in the Consumer Price Index. While house prices rose 10.06 percent, prices of other goods and services rose only 4.41 percent. The pace of house price appreciation in the most recent quarter more closely resembles the non-housing inflation rate.

The report notes that all states show four-quarter appreciation, but five Midwestern and New England states had small price decreases in the second quarter. In addition, price appreciation remains relatively robust in the two states hardest hit by Hurricane Katrina one year ago ?EUR??,,????'??+ Louisiana and Mississippi. Four-quarter appreciation rates were well above the national average in several cities in the area including: New Orleans-Metarie-Kenner, Gulfport-Biloxi, Baton Rouge, and Pascagoula.

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