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According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis gross domestic product grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.5 percent. This is up from 1.3 percent in the second quarter and 0.4 percent in the first quarter.
While revisions from advance to third estimates of GDP growth average 0.6 percent (without regard to sign), BEA quarterly estimates correctly indicate whether GDP growth is accelerating or decelerating 72 percent of the time. This suggests the improvement so far this year, following the dramatic slowdown from early 2010, is likely to be sustained in the second and third estimates. Residential fixed investment (RFI), housing?EUR??,,????'?????<???EUR?s contribution to GDP got lost in the rounding.
Despite the sheer size of the consumption component of GDP, historically it is the investment component that is the most responsive to the business cycle. It declines more in recessions and grows faster in recoveries, exerting outsized influence at turning points in the cycle.
This influence can be seen in the rise and fall of investment?EUR??,,????'?????<???EUR?s share of GDP surrounding recessions. These movements are much more pronounced than those of the other GDP components: consumption, government spending and net exports, indicating more rapid growth or contraction.
- Courtesy of NAHB
Francisco Uviña, University of New Mexico
Hardscape Oasis in Litchfield Park
Ash Nochian, Ph.D. Landscape Architect
November 12th, 2025
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