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Despite recent economic uncertainty, the pending home sales index for October remained stable, according to the National Association of Realtors.
The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in October, slipped 0.7 percent to 88.9 from an upwardly revised reading of 89.5 in September, and is one percent below October 2007 when it was 89.8.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said a review of the past year is instructive.
?EUR??,,????'?????<?????????????????Despite the turmoil in the economy, the overall level of pending home sales has been remarkably stable over the past year, holding in a generally narrow range,?EUR??,,????'?????<????????????????? he said. ?EUR??,,????'?????<?????????????????We did see a spike in August when mortgage conditions temporarily improved, which underscores two things ?EUR??,,????'?????<???????????????????????(R)??????oe there is a pent-up demand, and access to safe, affordable mortgages will bring more buyers into the market.?EUR??,,????'?????<?????????????????
According to the NAR, conditions remain uneven around the country, but some areas that are showing healthy gains in pending home sales from a year ago include many Florida and California markets, Providence, R.I.; Lansing, Mich.; Oklahoma City; and Las Vegas.
The PHSI in the South jumped 7.8 percent to 95.9 in October but remains 2.9 percent below a year ago. In the Northeast the index rose 0.6 percent to 68.1 but is 14.1 percent below October 2007. The index in the Midwest declined 4.3 percent to 79.7 in October and is 6.8 percent below a year ago. In the West, the index fell 8.7 percent to 103.7 but is 17.4 percent higher than October 2007.
landscapearchitect.com is predicting that by fall of 2009 the country will begin to see solid year over year increases in single-family home starts, permits, and put-in-place dollars.
?EUR??,,????'?????<?????????????????One factor though is that housing starts usually follow housing permits and with permits down in 2008 there is no great backlog of projects waiting to be started,?EUR??,,????'?????<????????????????? predicts landscapearchitect.com. ?EUR??,,????'?????<?????????????????Also, watch as housing values reach the low point (which will end up still higher than their 2004/5 values) and if the mortgage bailouts are successful and refinancing allows homeowners to stay put ?EUR??,,????'?????<???????????????????? thus limiting the number of foreclosures on the market ?EUR??,,????'?????<???????????????????? the surplus will begin to evaporate and population growth will add to demand and help the industry begin to recover towards a solid 2010 and beyond.?EUR??,,????'?????<?????????????????
landscapearchitect.com is predicting that in 2009, interest rates will stay low, inflation/deflation will counter balance itself into slightly negative territory, housing prices will stabilize and begin to rise, lenders will loosen up and by mid year, we all will see sold signs of growth and progress.
Sources: Landscape Communications, National Association of Realtors
Francisco Uviña, University of New Mexico
Hardscape Oasis in Litchfield Park
Ash Nochian, Ph.D. Landscape Architect
November 12th, 2025
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