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This summer?EUR??,,????'?????<????????????EUR??,,??s subprime crisis has taken a toll on the housing market as 2007 ends, but the industry is adjusting for a rebound in 2008.
According to the National Association of Realtors, single-family existing home sales were stable in October while the condo sector was down slightly. Lingering effects of the credit crunch were a drag on sales but the mortgage situation has improved significantly.
Total existing home sales ?EUR??,,????'?????<??????????????+ including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops ?EUR??,,????'?????<??????????????+ eased by 1.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.97 million units in October from a downwardly revised level of 5.03 million in September, and are 20.7 percent below the 6.27 million-unit pace in September 2006.
?EUR??,,????'?????<????????As noted last month, temporary mortgage problems were peaking back in August when many of the sales closed in October were being negotiated,?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. ?EUR??,,????'?????<????????A trend away from subprime mortgages to FHA loans, which often carry much lower interest rates, is a positive development for consumers and the housing market going forward. Still, it will take some time for the change to yield a measurably higher closed sales volume in the aftermath of the subprime collapse. In the near term, we expect home sales to remain fairly stable.?EUR??,,????'?????<????????
Single-family home sales were unchanged from September at the seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.37 million in October, and are 20.8 percent below 5.52 million-unit level in October 2006. The median existing single-family home price was $205,700 in October, down 6.3 percent from a year ago.
Existing condominium and co-op sales fell 9.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 600,000 units in October from 660,000 in September, but are 20.2 percent below the 752,000-unit pace in October 2006. The median existing condo price was $223,500 in October, up 4.9 percent from a year ago.
The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $207,800 in October, down 5.1 percent from October 2006 when the median was $218,900, but there is a downward distortion from the temporary problems with jumbo loans that slowed sales in high-price markets, and that dragged down the national median.
?EUR??,,????'?????<????????Inventories are helping put tremendous downward pressure on prices,?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? said Christopher Low, chief economist at FTN Financial in New York, who forecast a sales rate of 4.99 million.
NAR President Richard Gaylord believes the housing market is relatively good.
?EUR??,,????'?????<????????Keep in mind that home prices are up in 93 out of 150 metro areas, and there is a lot of confusion in the market from reports about national data,?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? he said. ?EUR??,,????'?????<????????Broadly speaking, home prices in most areas are up modestly or fairly stable. Areas with population or job growth are seeing the strongest home price gains.?EUR??,,????'?????<????????
According to the NAR, Charlotte, N.C.; San Francisco; Albuquerque; and Green Bay, Wis. are among the many metro areas showing healthy price.
Total housing inventory rose 1.9 percent at the end of October to 4.45 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 10.8-month supply at the current sales pace, up from a downwardly revised 10.4-month supply in September.
Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast were unchanged at an annual pace of 900,000 in October, and are 12.6 percent below October 2006. The median price in the Northeast was $258,700, up 1.3 percent from a year ago.
Existing-home sales in the South also were unchanged in October, at an annual rate of 2.03 million, but are 19.4 percent below a year ago. The median price in the South was $171,400, down 6.7 percent from October 2006.
In the Midwest, existing-home sales slipped 1.7 percent to an annual rate of 1.18 million in October, and are 16.9 percent below October 2006. The median price in the Midwest was $164,000, down 1.6 percent from a year ago.
Existing-home sales in the West fell 4.4 percent in October to a level of 870,000, and are 33.1 percent below a year ago. The median price in the West was $318,200, which is 6.9 percent lower than October 2006.
Sources: NAR, Bloomberg News
Francisco Uviña, University of New Mexico
Hardscape Oasis in Litchfield Park
Ash Nochian, Ph.D. Landscape Architect
November 12th, 2025
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