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Demand for fencing in the US is forecast to expand 2.9 percent per year through 2014 to 935 million linear feet. A rebound in housing completions will spur demand for fencing, reversing the declines of the 2007-2009 period and marginally exceeding the level of demand 10 years earlier. Through 2014, the price of metals is forecast to fall slightly from 2009 levels. As a result, despite the resurgence in demand in terms of linear feet, the value of fencing demand is expected to rise only slightly faster than it did in the 2004-2009 period, reaching $10.3 billion in 2014.
As a landscape contractor what trends should you pay attention to? What product sector will increase your profit potential and bring in more jobs?
Concrete and other fencing materials will also see above average demand gains through 2014. Advances will be derived from continued recognition of concrete's durability, which makes it ideal for buildings and sites requiring protection.
In 2009, metal fencing accounted for the largest share of the fencing market in both value and unit terms. Chain link fencing is often used to mark boundaries and secure properties, both residential and commercial, while ornamental varieties are used to enhance the aesthetic properties of homes and businesses.
Through 2014, demand for metal fencing in the US is expected to advance 2.0 percent annually. Growth will be derived from continued interest in metal fencing to mark boundaries and enhance physical security. However, below-average growth in the nonresidential market, where metal fencing dominates, will restrict gains. Metal fencing pricing is forecast to rise just over one percent per year through 2014 because of the projected decline in metal prices. Wood fencing demand will advance at the slowest pace through 2014 because of heavy competition from plastic and composite fencing.
Over the next four years, the demand for chain link fencing in the United States is expected to grow two percent each year, due mainly to the material's popularity as a boundary marker and its use in security systems. Demand for wood fencing, on the other hand, will advance at a relatively slow pace.
Residential buildings are the largest fencing market, so the recovery in residential construction will boost fencing demand over the forecast period. The residential market is predicted to account for about two-thirds of the approximately $1.5 billion advance in total fencing demand through 2014. The new housing segment is expected to post the most rapid advances in demand through 2014. Demand will also be supported by the large replacement segment, as improvement and repair spending rebounds from its current base.
Fencing demand in the nonresidential building construction, non-building construction and agricultural markets will advance 1.1 percent annually through 2014. Rebounding office and commercial construction, as well as transportation construction spending is expected to spur the growth in this sector. Accelerating institutional construction spending is also projected to support demand. However, growth will be checked by the fact that metal fencing constitutes the material most often used in these applications.
According to Denise Esser of WamBam Fence Inc., ''The biggest challenge we see is cheap vinyl materials on the market. Initially the price is right, but the product doesn't last and looks poor in people's yards. As a result, it gives off an unfavorable impression. Vinyl is meant to last a lifetime, and a good vinyl fence will do just that. You get what you pay for.''
''The main issue hurting the market today is: Too many contractors focused on selling price alone instead of price with value. Price is obviously important, but most buyers are still primarily focused on the overall value provided,'' said Jim Paterson, SVP Sales & Marketing for D&D Technologies, USA.
Ben Jodoin, VP Sales & Marketing of Ultra Aluminum Manufacturing concurs, adding: (The biggest challenge facing the fencing industry today is) The profusion of low-end imports has caused many to look at ornamental fence as a commodity with less emphasis on quality and service. That perception must be changed.''
Benjamin Shirley, Ameristar Fence Products says: ''The biggest challenge facing the fence industry are low quality import products. Typically these products are shipped in with marketing strategies that offer unrealistic warranties and products that don't meet their own published specifications.''
According to Matthew Murray of Fence Fabric: ''The biggest challenge facing the industry is contractors bidding against one another for price. In a down economy, an industry fighting itself threatens to create a destructive situation, as happened in the 1980's.''
William Batts III, President of SPECRAIL notes that: ''Grading is the biggest challenge for us as a manufacturer.''
Doug Bracken, President of Wiemann Metalcraft, adds: ''Gates are complex installations requiring multiple trades like a footing contractor, landscape contractor, electrician and/or automated gate equipment installer, a gate fabricator and installer, and an alarm specialist.'' Linda Zielinski, Atlantis Products Inc. added: ''Getting a fence installed straight and level, adjust it for smooth operation. Get qualified local subcontractor for electronics, should either have a talented mechanical crewmember or crew member with experience in metalworking.''
''Overall, fencing is down about 25 percent from the previous year,'' asserts Batts III. Bracken adds: ''It's a difficult business climate (because the) market is completely price-driven at the moment.'' But there are bright spots, as Linda Zielinski, Atlantis Products Inc. notes: ''(Our business is doing) very well, especially thanks to the heightened need for security, which does not just apply to high security aspects, but also heightened security needs for residential type projects.'' Murray concurs: ''In the next couple years, we anticipate that security and privacy will be increasingly important in industrial, commercial, residential, and government projects.''
According to Lee Crumbaugh, the American Fence Association Executive Director, the fencing industry will see: ''More activity in security fencing due to those projects being supported by government programs and funding.''
''We see fencing moving more towards natural-looking barriers, said Lindsey Manthei O'Connor of Redi-Scapes: ''Stone textures allow fencing and barriers to blend in with the indigenous landscaping and match up with local color schemes.'' Manthei O'Connor added, ''There's been a surge in wet-cast concrete fencing and barriers in 2010, especially for products that are versatile to offer many different design options.''
''In light of the current economy,'' notes Denise Esser of WamBam Fence Inc., ''we see people looking for more affordable ways to install fences. One trend we have seen is that many contractors have started installing vinyl fence the digless way. Not only is it a much quicker and cleaner way to install a fence, but they don't need to invest in (or rent) expensive machinery. We have talked to many contractors who maintain that they can install a vinyl fence the digless way in half the time it takes to install a vinyl fence traditionally.''
When asked what trends they see over the next couple of years, Manthei O'Connor reported, ''We see fencing moving more towards natural-looking barriers. Stone texture allows fencing and barriers to blend in with the indigenous landscaping and match up with local color schemes.''
Benjamin Shirley, Ameristar Fence Products says: ''Ameristar anticipates a greater demand for security products along with a strong desire to understand product life. When discussing fencing with architects and owners we hear multiple stories of how less expensive products were used on projects, only to find out months after project completion the product is failing.''
''The fence industry for the last 10 years has seen a greater demand for ornamental fencing, gate automation, and access control. As more sites demand perimeter security the need to balance security with aesthetics is a necessity.''
Chris Baio, production coordinator for Becker Marketing Group predicts that trends to watch over the next couple of years include: ''A greater emphasis on ?EUR??,,????'?????<?Green' products.''
According to Alumi-Guard's Nick Woodward, ''Although the construction industry in general has taken a hit during recent years, many of the fence installation companies we work with have said that in spite of the tough economic conditions, they have an optimistic sales forecast for 2011. Despite residential being the primary business for most of the fence industry, Alumi-Guard has seen quite an increase in the commercial and industrial fence projects over the past several months. While all new business is welcome - the commercial and industrial lines present a different set of challenges; most notably is the lag time between when a job is quoted and when it is ordered. A year or more may pass by the time the job is ordered and during that period, the pricing of the raw material may have fluctuated so much that the quote isn't necessarily valid anymore.''
Francisco Uviña, University of New Mexico
Hardscape Oasis in Litchfield Park
Ash Nochian, Ph.D. Landscape Architect
November 12th, 2025
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