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Consumer Confidence and Sentiment Remain in the Doldrums04-13-09 | News

Consumer Confidence and Sentiment Remain in the Doldrums




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University of Michigan regularly asks consumers whether they think it?EUR??,,????'???s a good or bad time to buy a house. The proportion saying good has been around 70 percent in recent months, including March, well up from the cyclical lows posted back in 2006.


Key measures of consumer confidence by the Conference Board and consumer sentiment by the University of Michigan remained at or below their respective record lows in March ?EUR??,,????'??+ primarily because of the extremely weak labor market conditions prevailing at that time as well as a weak outlook among consumers for income over the next six months, according to National Association of Homebuilders.

The rebound in perceptions of home buying conditions has been driven primarily by lower house prices, but also by lower mortgage rates.

Weak assessments of general economic conditions obviously have been holding back prospective buyers who view house prices and interest rates as favorable.

In March, none of the consumers who rated home buying conditions as good cited good times as a reason, while a significant number of those saying it was a bad time to buy a house listed bad times ahead as a factor.

History shows, however, that spending by consumers often picks up well before the job market improves and consumer confidence recovers. Home sales ordinarily start up well before both employment and confidence rise, generally because low mortgage rates and enhanced affordability encourage some pent-up demand to come onto the market. – Courtesy of NAHB

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