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Led by hotel/resorts and educational projects, construction spending was up slightly in September, according to a report released Wednesday by the Commerce Department. These numbers contributed to a reported third quarter increase in the Gross Domestic Product of 3.9 percent.
Spending on construction projects was recorded at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.163 trillion, up 0.3 percent from August.
?EUR??,,????'?????<?Construction spending is doing well on all fronts,?EUR??,,????'?????<? Ken Simonson, chief economist of the Associated General Contractors of America, said. ?EUR??,,????'?????<?All 16 non-residential sectors were up from August?EUR??,,????'?????<???EUR?s numbers, and 15 of 16 sectors are from September 2006.?EUR??,,????'?????<?
Nonresidential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $357.7 billion in September, 1.5 percent above the revised August estimate of $352.4 billion.
Construction spending on hotels in September came in at $34.2 billion, 6.1 percent above August and a whopping 76 percent above September 2006. More than $100 billion was spent on educational projects in September, up two percent from August and 18.1 percent from September 2006.
The rise in non-residential structures added 0.4 pp to GDP growth. Non-residential structure investment has soared since the fourth quarter of 2005, rising at a 13.3 percent annual rate. It currently accounts for 3.4 percent of GDP. Its share never exceeded 3.3 percent in the late 90s boom.
Simonson said there is a simple explanation for why the construction numbers are positive, as opposed to the housing numbers seen this year.
?EUR??,,????'?????<?The economy is strong,?EUR??,,????'?????<? he said. ?EUR??,,????'?????<?Hotels/resorts (construction) is strong, public schools and private universities construction is up, hospital construction is strong, and somewhat puzzling, office construction is up.?EUR??,,????'?????<?
Reports on the construction numbers and the GDP served as a Halloween treat for the White House.
Ed Lazear, the chairman of President Bush?EUR??,,????'?????<???EUR?s Council of Economic Advisers, said he was particularly pleased to see that the growth was balanced across sectors and that a worsening housing slump did not appear to leak into other areas of the economy as feared.
?EUR??,,????'?????<?This is an extremely resilient economy,?EUR??,,????'?????<? he said. ?EUR??,,????'?????<?It is really quite remarkable.?EUR??,,????'?????<?
Simonson said landscape contracting companies have been able to recoup revenues lost as a result of the downturn in housing by working on more commercial projects.
?EUR??,,????'?????<?All of these new projects, particularly hotels and schools, need landscaping,?EUR??,,????'?????<? he said.
The construction industry may pull back economically slightly in 2008, Simonson said, due to a number of factors.
?EUR??,,????'?????<?Oil and diesel prices are up to all-time highs,?EUR??,,????'?????<? he said. ?EUR??,,????'?????<?Materials costs are increasing and metals prices are up versus a year ago. In addition, wages have crept up in the non-residential construction sector.?EUR??,,????'?????<?
Simonson also noted that credit wariness will have a negative impact in 2008 on construction spending, although he expects the power, hospital and education sectors to remain strong.
?EUR??,,????'?????<?Non-residential construction should see about 1/2 of this year?EUR??,,????'?????<???EUR?s growth, with 12 to 14 percent growth expected for 2007,?EUR??,,????'?????<? he said.
Source: Commerce Department, Associated Press, Center for Economic and Policy Research
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Francisco Uviña, University of New Mexico
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Ash Nochian, Ph.D. Landscape Architect
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