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Builders Lack Confidence in Multifamily Housing Market11-20-08 | News

Builders Lack Confidence in Multifamily Housing Market




Builders have a grim view about the multifamily housing sector as two indexes that gauge builder confidence have dropped to five-year lows.
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Builder confidence in the multifamily housing market sagged in the third quarter of 2008, pushing both the Multifamily Condo Market Index (MCMI) and the Multifamily Rental Market Index (MRMI) to their lowest levels since the National Association of Home Builders created the indexes in 2003.

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The component of the MRMI that gauges supply was dramatically lower for both market-rate and affordable apartments, standing at 22.2 and 15.7 respectively for the third quarter. At the same time last year, the same component stood at 43.8 for market-rate and 44.3 for affordable apartments.

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The MCMI, which gauges current and expected supply in the condominium market, sank into single-digits for the first time: the index value for current conditions stood at 8.1 in the third quarter, dropping more than five points from 13.5 at the same time last year. Builder confidence in the condo market over the next six months remains low as well: the index tracking this measure fell from 20.8 in the third quarter of 2007 to 9.9 in the third quarter of this year.

Apartment builders are not optimistic about the next six months either, according to the NAHB, as the component tracking expectations for supply for market-rate apartments fell from 47.1 in the third quarter of last year to 19.1 in the third quarter of this year. Affordable housing developers were even more pessimistic: the component of the index tracking their expectations for supply over the next six month slipped to 20.3 in the third quarter of 2008, down from 39.1 at the same time a year ago.

Source: NAHB

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