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Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes held at a record low in December, according to the National Association of Home Builders.
The builder?EUR??,,????'?????<????????????EUR??,,??s group cited deepening economic turmoil, a deteriorating job market, and an ongoing flow of foreclosed homes onto the market as reasons for the low confidence rate. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) did not budge this month from November?EUR??,,????'?????<????????????EUR??,,??s all-time low reading of nine, with two out of three component indexes losing further ground.
?EUR??,,????'?????<????????We have seen no improvement over the past month in terms of sales conditions for new homes,?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. ?EUR??,,????'?????<????????In fact, certain factors have gotten progressively worse, not the least of which is the job market, where massive layoffs are having a devastating effect on consumer confidence.?EUR??,,????'?????<????????
Derived from a monthly survey that NAHB has been conducting for more than 20 years, the NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as ?EUR??,,????'?????<????????good,?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? ?EUR??,,????'?????<????????fair?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? or ?EUR??,,????'?????<????????poor.?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? The survey also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers as ?EUR??,,????'?????<????????high to very high,?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? ?EUR??,,????'?????<????????average?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? or ?EUR??,,????'?????<????????low to very low.?EUR??,,????'?????<???????? Scores for each component are then used to calculate a seasonally adjusted index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.
Two out of three of the HMI?EUR??,,????'?????<????????????EUR??,,??s component indexes registered some further deterioration in December. The index gauging current sales conditions and the index gauging sales expectations for the next six months each declined to new record lows, falling one point to 8 and two points to 16, respectively. The index gauging traffic of prospective buyers held at a record low of 7 for the month.
Two out of four regions posted declining builder confidence readings in December, with the Midwest and South edging down one point and two points, to six and 10, respectively. The Northeast held even with the previous month?EUR??,,????'?????<????????????EUR??,,??s 11 reading, while the West posted a one-point gain to seven.
Source: NAHB
Francisco Uviña, University of New Mexico
Hardscape Oasis in Litchfield Park
Ash Nochian, Ph.D. Landscape Architect
November 12th, 2025
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